SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.68%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
40.4% ( 0.06) | 22.51% ( 0.02) | 37.08% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 67.21% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.08) | 33.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.82% ( -0.09) | 55.18% ( 0.09) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.01) | 17.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.36% ( -0.02) | 47.63% ( 0.02) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( -0.07) | 18.73% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.89% ( -0.12) | 50.11% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.08% |
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