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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
29.46% ( -0.08) | 21.49% ( 0) | 49.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 68.02% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.06) | 31.12% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.47% ( -0.08) | 52.53% ( 0.08) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.08) | 21.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -0.12) | 54.65% ( 0.12) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.72% ( 0) | 13.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.9% ( 0) | 40.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.46% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 49.05% |
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