Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
