Man Utd U23s
5 - 2
Derby U23s

Fernandez (23'), Mejbri (63' pen.), Emeran (71'), Savage (79'), Shoretire (87')
Emeran (73'), Savage (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aghatise (54'), Cybulski (90+5')
Bardell (45+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester United Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.46%) and 3-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
40.59%	22.31%	37.1%

Both teams to score 68.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.67%

32.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.05%

53.95%

Manchester United Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23%

16.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29%

46.71%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75%

18.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7%

49.3%

Score Analysis

Manchester United Under-23s 40.59%

Derby County Under-23s 37.1%

Draw 22.31%

Manchester United Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 4.94% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.45% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 7.06% 0-0 @ 3.06% 3-3 @ 2.38% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.31%	1-2 @ 7.91% 0-1 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.07% 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.1%