Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Manchester United Under-23s had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.52%) and 1-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
