Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.54%) and 3-2 (4.83%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
