SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | West Ham United Under-23s | 25 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal Under-23s | 26 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool Under-23s | 26 | 10 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Everton Under-23s | 26 | -21 | 29 |
| 12 | Leeds United Under-23s | 26 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Chelsea Under-23s | 25 | -9 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.54%) and 3-2 (4.83%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 44.75% | 21.24% | 34% |
| Both teams to score 71.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.43% | 27.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.79% | 48.21% |
| Arsenal Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.66% | 13.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% | 17.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.01% | 47.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 4.73% 1-0 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-3 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.16% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 7.2% 3-3 @ 2.81% 0-0 @ 2.33% Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 7.14% 2-3 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-1 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.81% 3-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 4% Total : 34.01% |
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