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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.11%) and 2-3 (5.15%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
30.01% ( 0.27) | 20.5% ( 0.03) | 49.49% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 72.27% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.02) | 25.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.02) | 45.95% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( 0.15) | 18.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.16% ( 0.25) | 49.83% ( -0.25) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.75% ( -0.08) | 11.25% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.18% ( -0.17) | 35.82% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.25% Total : 49.49% |
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