Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
58.13% ( 0.17) | 20.22% ( -0.01) | 21.65% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 64.07% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.32% ( -0.17) | 32.67% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.65% ( -0.19) | 54.35% ( 0.19) |
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.81% ( -0.01) | 11.19% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.3% ( -0.01) | 35.7% ( 0.02) |
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -0.23) | 27.86% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% ( -0.3) | 63.46% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 21.65% |
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