SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
58.13% ( 0.17) | 20.22% ( -0.01) | 21.65% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 64.07% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.32% ( -0.17) | 32.67% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.65% ( -0.19) | 54.35% ( 0.19) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( -0.01) | 11.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.3% ( -0.01) | 35.7% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.23) | 27.86% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( -0.3) | 63.46% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 21.65% |
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