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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.21%) and 2-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
36.93% ( -0.08) | 20.94% ( 0.07) | 42.12% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 73.52% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0.36) | 25.29% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.7% ( -0.46) | 45.3% ( 0.46) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( -0.19) | 15.19% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.17% ( -0.36) | 43.82% ( 0.36) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% ( -0.15) | 13.3% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.85% ( -0.29) | 40.14% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 7.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 42.12% |
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