SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.75%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
34.43% ( 0.11) | 22.27% ( 0.03) | 43.29% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 67.58% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.13) | 32.69% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.63% ( -0.15) | 54.37% ( 0.14) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( -0.01) | 19.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( -0.01) | 51.66% ( 0) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( -0.11) | 15.86% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.93% ( -0.19) | 45.06% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 43.29% |
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