SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.42%) and 2-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
35.52% ( 0.57) | 20.54% ( -0.18) | 43.94% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 74.8% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.44% ( 1.09) | 23.56% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.99% ( 1.45) | 43.01% ( -1.45) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.74) | 14.97% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( 1.39) | 43.4% ( -1.39) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( 0.31) | 12.03% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.5% ( 0.65) | 37.5% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.18% Total : 35.52% | 2-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.21)0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.81% Total : 43.94% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
