Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.05%) and 2-3 (4.62%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
