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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
25.35% ( 0) | 22.23% ( 0.15) | 52.42% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( -0.7) | 38.11% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( -0.75) | 60.38% ( 0.74) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( -0.37) | 27.92% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( -0.48) | 63.54% ( 0.47) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -0.29) | 14.68% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% ( -0.57) | 42.85% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.19% Total : 52.42% |
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