SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 38.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.77%) and 0-2 (4.87%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
38.59% ( 0.41) | 22.73% ( 0.08) | 38.68% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 66.47% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.39) | 34.4% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( -0.45) | 56.32% ( 0.45) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( 0.01) | 18.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.3% ( 0.02) | 49.7% ( -0.02) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( -0.38) | 18.45% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.36% ( -0.65) | 49.64% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 38.68% |
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