SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.4%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
50.71% ( 0.05) | 21.61% ( 0) | 27.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 66.08% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.95% ( -0.05) | 33.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.21% ( -0.06) | 54.78% ( 0.06) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.55% ( -0) | 13.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.57% ( -0.01) | 40.43% ( 0.01) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -0.06) | 23.65% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.09) | 57.74% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.72% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.67% |
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