Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.28%) and 1-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
