Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.