Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-23s had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
