Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
