Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-23s had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley Under-23s would win this match.
