Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 59.23%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 20.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s would win this match.
