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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 49%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
49% ( -4.77) | 21.44% ( 0.76) | 29.56% ( 4) |
| Both teams to score 68.26% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.51) | 30.83% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.81% ( -0.61) | 52.19% ( 0.61) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( -1.58) | 13.19% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.08% ( -3.3) | 39.92% ( 3.3) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 2.22) | 21.37% ( -2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( 3.31) | 54.34% ( -3.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.56)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.57)1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.65)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.49)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.48)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.29)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.22% Total : 49% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.65) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.5)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.35)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.28)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.56% |
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