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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 57.12%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
23.22% ( 0.53) | 19.65% ( 0.15) | 57.12% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 68.63% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.06) | 27.78% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.53% ( -0.07) | 48.46% ( 0.07) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( 0.36) | 23.8% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.04% ( 0.51) | 57.96% ( -0.5) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.07% ( -0.18) | 9.93% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.15% ( -0.42) | 32.85% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.23% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.65% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 4.02% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.91% Total : 57.12% |
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