SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.69%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.47%) and 3-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
54.69% ( 0.31) | 18.67% ( -0.11) | 26.63% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 76.64% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.63% ( 0.39) | 19.37% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.81% ( 0.56) | 37.19% ( -0.56) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.18% ( 0.19) | 7.82% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.25% ( 0.48) | 27.75% ( -0.48) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( 0.12) | 16.85% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( 0.22) | 46.86% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)5-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 5% Total : 54.69% | 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)4-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.67% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 26.63% |
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