SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.07%) and 2-3 (4.86%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
38.04% ( -0.05) | 20.94% ( 0.02) | 41.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 73.67% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.12) | 25.15% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.15) | 45.12% ( 0.15) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( -0.07) | 14.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.11% ( -0.14) | 42.89% ( 0.14) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( -0.04) | 13.62% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.21% ( -0.08) | 40.78% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 4.36% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.01% |
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