SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sunderland Under-21s | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Stoke City Under-21s | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Nottingham Forest Under-21s | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
11.83% ( -1.51) | 14.36% ( -0.95) | 73.81% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 64.51% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.91) | 22.7% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.15% ( 1.22) | 41.85% ( -1.22) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( -1.37) | 31.86% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( -1.59) | 68.3% ( 1.6) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.68% ( 0.6) | 5.32% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.07% ( 1.73) | 20.93% ( -1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.83% | 1-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.43% Total : 14.36% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 8.16% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 5.23% ( 0.43)0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 3.51% ( 0.29)2-4 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 3.07% ( 0.36)2-5 @ 2.01% ( 0.09)1-6 @ 1.72% ( 0.2)0-6 @ 1.5% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)2-6 @ 0.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.51% Total : 73.81% |
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