Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
47.33% ( -0.21) | 22.03% ( 0.04) | 30.63% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 66.72% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.88% ( -0.09) | 33.12% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.14% ( -0.1) | 54.86% ( 0.1) |
Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.42% ( -0.1) | 14.58% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.35% ( -0.2) | 42.65% ( 0.2) |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( 0.06) | 21.89% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% ( 0.08) | 55.14% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 30.63% |
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