SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
65.69% ( -2.16) | 18.31% ( 0.48) | 16% ( 1.68) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 2.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.16% ( 1.35) | 32.84% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.46% ( 1.55) | 54.54% ( -1.55) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.63% ( -0.14) | 9.37% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.44% ( -0.32) | 31.55% ( 0.31) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( 2.98) | 33.56% ( -2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.8% ( 3.13) | 70.2% ( -3.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.76)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.6)3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.65)4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.3)4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.21)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.8% Total : 65.69% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.31% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.73% Total : 16% |
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