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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.74%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
31.88% ( 1.14) | 21.57% ( -0.31) | 46.54% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 69.22% ( 1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% ( 2.17) | 30.15% ( -2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.62% ( 2.57) | 51.38% ( -2.57) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( 1.68) | 19.76% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( 2.65) | 51.8% ( -2.65) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( 0.54) | 13.73% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59% ( 1.06) | 41% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.18)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.88% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.54% |
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