SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 38.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.91%) and 0-1 (4.62%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
38.54% ( -0.29) | 21.61% ( -0.08) | 39.85% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 71% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.43% ( 0.4) | 28.57% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.56% ( 0.5) | 49.44% ( -0.5) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0.06) | 15.99% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( 0.11) | 45.31% ( -0.11) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( 0.31) | 15.48% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.64% ( 0.58) | 44.36% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.01% Total : 39.85% |
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