SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
55.68% ( 0.8) | 20.62% ( -0.22) | 23.7% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 65.49% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.95% ( 0.41) | 32.05% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.38% ( 0.48) | 53.62% ( -0.48) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( 0.35) | 11.65% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.3% ( 0.76) | 36.7% ( -0.75) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.2) | 25.87% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( -0.28) | 60.84% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.68% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 23.7% |
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