SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
36.83% ( -0.02) | 23.01% ( -0.02) | 40.16% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.24% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.05% ( 0.11) | 35.95% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.12) | 58.04% ( -0.12) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( 0.04) | 19.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% ( 0.06) | 52.16% ( -0.06) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( 0.06) | 18.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( 0.11) | 49.66% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.2% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 40.16% |
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