Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s would win this match.
