Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
