Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
