Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
