Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Burnley Under-23s had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
