Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s would win this match.
