Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
