Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
