Newcastle
0 - 2
Arsenal

Elneny (5'), Aubameyang (66')
Xhaka (20'), Almiron (31'), Fernandez (62')
Schar (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Build‑up

Preview

Newcastle fail to have Schar's red card overturned

Arteta delighted with Aubameyang return

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arsenal in this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Arsenal
17.37%	20.85%	61.78%

Both teams to score 54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.66%

42.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.26%

64.74%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.19%

37.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.42%

74.58%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.82%

13.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.11%

39.89%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 17.37%

Arsenal 61.77%

Draw 20.85%

Newcastle United	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 4.85% 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.57% 3-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.37%	1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 4.98% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.85%	0-2 @ 10.23% 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 6.72% 0-4 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.23% Total : 61.77%