Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
