Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.11%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
