Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 13, 2021 at 8pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 3
Man City

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stones (47'), Jesus (56'), Aguero (60' pen.)

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 8.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.11%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Manchester City
8.97%	15.13%	75.9%

Both teams to score 48.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.73%

36.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.6%

58.4%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.96%

47.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.49%

82.51%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.03%

7.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.87%

28.13%

Score Analysis

Fulham 8.97%

Manchester City 75.89%

Draw 15.13%

Fulham	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 2.83% 2-1 @ 2.7% 2-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.38% Total : 8.97%	1-1 @ 7.15% 0-0 @ 3.75% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.82% Total : 15.13%	0-2 @ 11.99% 0-3 @ 10.11% 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 6.4% 1-4 @ 4.83% 0-5 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-5 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.82% 0-6 @ 1.37% 1-6 @ 1.03% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.71% Total : 75.89%