Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
28.24% | 25.15% | 46.61% |
Both teams to score 54.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% | 49.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% | 71.15% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.5% | 31.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.11% | 67.89% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% | 21.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% | 53.9% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.6% |
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