Aston Villa
0 - 2
Spurs

Cash (74'), McGinn (83'), Targett (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vinicius (29'), Kane (68' pen.)
Lo Celso (62'), Vinicius (83')

Build‑up

Kane pleased to recover from "embarrassing" Europa League exit

Jose Mourinho: 'There are selfish players at Spurs'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
26.41%	24.93%	48.67%

Both teams to score 53.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68%

49.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63%

71.37%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94%

33.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35%

69.65%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.34%

52.66%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 26.41%

Tottenham Hotspur 48.67%

Draw 24.92%

Aston Villa	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.41%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.67%