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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
WH

Aston Villa
1 - 4
West Ham

Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
25.14%24.89%49.98%
Both teams to score 52.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87%50.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9%72.09%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46%34.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74%71.26%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7%52.3%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 25.14%
    West Ham United 49.97%
    Draw 24.88%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 7.37%
2-1 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.14%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 8.94%
1-3 @ 5.09%
0-3 @ 4.79%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 2.04%
0-4 @ 1.92%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.97%

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