Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
41.04%	26.65%	32.31%

Both teams to score 51.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.52%

53.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25%

75%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.58%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13%

30.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84%

67.16%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 41.04%

Aston Villa 32.31%

Draw 26.64%

West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.04%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.31%