Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
