Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 25, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
0 - 1
Aston Villa

Shaw (29'), Fred (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hause (88')
McGinn (66'), Cash (90')

Neville: 'Man United must learn to play more as a team'

Bruno Fernandes vows to "come back stronger" from penalty miss

I'd have backed Bruno Fernandes with my mortgage - Ole Gunnar Solskjaer

Luke Shaw, Harry Maguire injured in Man United defeat

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Aston Villa
56.13%	22.83%	21.03%

Both teams to score 53.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32%

45.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32%

68%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91%

16.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52%

45.48%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17%

35.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39%

72.6%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 56.13%

Aston Villa 21.03%

Draw 22.82%

Manchester United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.62% 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-0 @ 5.86% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.33% Total : 56.13%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.03%