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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
WL

Aston Villa
2 - 3
Wolves

Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
33.49%28.03%38.48%
Both teams to score 47.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.47%58.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9%79.1%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36%32.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81%69.19%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51%29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5%65.5%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 33.49%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 38.47%
    Draw 28.03%
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.49%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.47%

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