Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
